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Behavioural change techniques to unlock “Project Fear”

It’s pretty clear that some well-established behavioural change techniques were employed by the UK government to enable us to “flatten the curve” and thus avoid the Covid19 pandemic overwhelming the NHS. Daily press briefings with a focus on the number of deaths and endless media doom-mongering have created a climate of fear. Recent surveys suggest … Continue reading

People get fed “number theatre” in the daily Covid19 press briefings.

If you want to understand the risks associated with Covid19, it’s well worth watching Professor David Spiegelhalter on the Andrew Marr show this morning. Starts at 46 minutes: https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m000j4vd/the-andrew-marr-show-10052020 Here’s a summary: Infection Fatality Rate <1%, implies at least 3.5M people in the UK infected with the virus but it could be double that or … Continue reading

Covid19: “all countries are perfectly designed to get the results that they do”

I’m not overly persuaded by the many comparisons of Covid19 testing and death rates in different countries. Continue reading

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